5 Senate Tossup Races to Watch

Here in Missouri, Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) is considered a tossup when matched with challenger Sarah Steelman (R), who has an 8-point lead as of yesterday.  

After the SCOTUS ruling saying that Obamacare is just another tax on the poor and middle Americans, I’m thinking Sarah Steelman is going to pull way out in front.

After all, in 2006, McCaskill won the senate race by only 2.3 percent of the total vote even after ACORN stole the election for her.  

Also, Missourians are very much opposed to the Obamacare tax which McCaskill voted for.  In fact, during the 2010 “Bay of Libs” election cycle, 71 percent of Missouri’s voters rejected the Obamacare tax via passage of Prop. C.

So, long story short, unless Sarah Steelman makes a major misstep, Claire McCaskill is toast here in Missouri.

Unfortunately, the other senate tossups are not as clear cut.  My fellow Tea Partiers in those states need to really kick it up a notch or two if they want to have any shot at picking up the senate:

Obamacare Democrats Find Themselves in GOP Crosshairs

The Supreme Court’s decision to uphold Obamacare puts a number of Senate Democrats who voted for the healthcare overhaul and are seeking re-election in the crosshairs of the GOP.

Of the 60 Democrats and independents that voted to approve President Barack Obama’s healthcare law, 15 are up for re-election this year. The GOP needs to pick up four seats to take control of the Senate should Obama win re-election; three should Mitt Romney win, as his GOP vice president would break the tie.

Of those seeking re-election, the GOP’s best chance for pickups are most likely in Florida, Missouri, Montana, Ohio and Michigan.

Republican candidates were leading in two of those five states —Missouri and Montana — based on the latest TPM Poll Averages as of Thursday — while the Republican challenger was nipping at the heels of the Democrat incumbent in Florida.


Here is a look at the key five contests based on the latest TMP Poll Averages:

Missouri: Incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill trails Republican Sarah Steelman by an 8-point margin — 48.7 to 40.7 percent. McCaskill is a big target for the GOP with many experts predicting that Republicans will not pick up the seats it needs to take the Senate unless they can win here.

Montana: Republican Rep. Denny Rehberg is holding onto a narrow 2-point lead over Democratic Sen. Jon Tester, 49 to 47 percent.

Florida: Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla., enjoys a slight 2.1-point lead over Republican challenger Connie Mack — 41.6 to 39.5 percent.

Ohio: Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, is leading by 11.4 points over Republican challenger Josh Mandel — 48 to 36.6 percent.

Michigan: Democrat Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., has an 11-point lead over Republican Pete Hoekstra — 48.7 to 37.7 percent.

Explore posts in the same categories: politics, Sucky Senators

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