It’s not only “tricky” it is a Pandora’s box, now that it has been opened it may prove impossible to close.
By PAUL HAVEN
22 February, 2008, (AP)
MADRID, Spain — Afghanistan was among the first to recognize Kosovo’s independence, leaping at the chance to acknowledge a majority Muslim nation in Europe.
Taiwan did too, hoping Kosovo would reciprocate and poke a thumb in the eye of archrival China.
But Spain, with a worried eye on its own breakaway movements, said it would never affirm Kosovo’s sovereignty.
The response to Kosovo’s declaration of independence has as much to do with history and local politics as it does with heartfelt feelings for Kosovo and its people.
Rising violence and Russia’s fierce opposition could push fence-sitters to shy away. The question is: Will the turbulence compel supporters to roll back timetables for naming ambassadors and opening consulates in the new state?
“It’s understandable that some nations will want to wait and see how things develop before appointing an ambassador, or opening an embassy,” said Alan Boyle, an international lawyer and academic at the University of Edinburgh, in Scotland.
“Recognizing a state is a policy decision, but establishing diplomatic ties is a separate – and often political – decision,” Boyle said. “One doesn’t always follow the other: the U.S. recognizes Cuba, but doesn’t have diplomatic links.”
Some were adamant that a rollback on recognition was impossible, regardless of pressure from Serbia or Russia.
In Germany, a spokesman for the Foreign Ministry said rescinding recognition of Kosovo was “unimaginable.”
Five days after unilaterally declaring independence from Serbia, nearly two dozen countries have recognized Kosovo – including major powers like the United States, Britain and France – and many more say they are planning to do so in the future.
On Friday, Kosovo Prime Minister Hashim Thaci brushed aside concerns that his nation’s statehood might not stand the test of time.
“Everything is clear. We have massive recognition,” he said in an interview with The Associated Press. “Kosovo is an independent state – sovereign and democratic.”
But with Moscow firmly opposed to what it sees as a slap from the West, and violence erupting in Serbia and in Kosovo’s ethnic Serb enclave, it is too early to say who will ultimately win the recognition game.
On Thursday, rioters set the U.S. Embassy in Belgrade ablaze, and Moscow has said it would block U.N. recognition of the breakaway region. Russia’s envoy to NATO, Dmitry Rogozin, said Friday that Western nations made “a strategic mistake, similar to the invasion of Iraq,” by backing Kosovo’s independence.
Some nations have already mentioned the violence to support their position.
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico – an opponent of independence – said the unrest was evidence that the West’s support for Kosovo’s move was a mistake.
“We can already see that the unilateral declaration of independence didn’t help anybody,” he said earlier this week.
But the main reason for opposition – both in Slovakia and elsewhere – still appears to be homegrown. Slovakia, which until 1993 was a part of Czechoslovakia, has a sizable Hungarian minority, and it fears Kosovo’s move could encourage ethnic tensions at home. (more…)
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